Saturday, 12 March 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - "Akser Wotan", the Danish unit that never existed

By John Burns, The New York Times

The following interview was taken Friday May 16, 1980 in a military hospital in Belgium.

Lieutenant Jonas Roggon, 28 years old, is a German Attack Helicopter pilot. He has minor wounds in the left part of the body, and lost his left eye. Despite that, he's recovering and willing to talk.

At dawn of May, 13 Roggon's squadron was ordered to fly to Copenhagen and support Danish defenders against a Soviet Paratroop Division airdropped South of the city 48 hours before.
Distance made a round-trip impossible, so the squadron had to land at Vaerlose airport and wait two days for fuel supply before getting back to its original airfield.

During this forced stop, with his helicopter grounded for refueling and maintenance, Jonas Roggon had the dubious luck to witness the May 15 assault to the airfield by Soviet paratroopers. The ensuing fight has already been defined by someone as "ferocious beyond human comprehension".

How was the defense troops readiness level when you arrived? Did the Danish expect an airdrop or were taken by surprise?
They were expecting it, actually sooner. The airfield and Western part of Copenhagen were defended by their best troops.

And were their best troops up to the task?
Well.....I have spent my whole military life in the Bundeswehr, and I must say our training is more accurate and a lot better. The average Danish soldier was more....amateur when war started, but he is a quick learner. The equipment is quite good, too.

Was the civilian personnel already evacuated when you arrived?
Yes, they left as soon as the news of the airdrop arrived; well, "evacuated" is not the correct term; they simply fled as fast as they could. I think that was probably the main reason for what happened later.

Could you elaborate?
Well, Copenhagen airport always had a lot of.....strange traffic, I mean, Danish are quite open-minded people, and there's a lot of drug around during the weekend....I know it because I used to spend some time there during summer.....don't get me wrong, never used it, but I know there was a lot.
Simply put, airport police entered a get-out-of-here-fastest-we-can mode; they didn't care or have no time to empty the Customs depot. The way they told me, they blew up the door with C-4 plastic, right after their arrival at the airport.

"They"?
Olaf Kristensen and his unit. When I arrived, they have already been high on every imaginable drug for four days. At that point, they liked to be called "Akser Wotan", something like "Odin's Axes".

Olaf Kristensen, Commander of the "Odin's Axes" unit, arriving at Copenhagen airport at May, 11
How many were part of this "Odin's Axes" group?
I'd say maybe one hundred, the majority of Kristensen's Company. They acted as a sort of irregulars, with their own orders and tactics. I think the Battalion commander gave up, or decided that after all they were more effective that way.


"That way"?
Someone in the Company brought a lot of medieval battle axes, using a pick-up. I mean, not the replicas you find in some store; real Viking-style battle axes. I presume it was a joke at the beginning, but after a couple of days on amphetamines they began to use them seriously.

Do you mean they used axes in combat?
Yes. When I arrived at the airport at May 13, one of them showed me their "Trophy Room". They had at least twenty heads of Soviet paratroopers, with basque and everything. They kept them on a couple of tables, in the airport's Chapel.

Did their Commanders know about this "Trophy Room"? 
As far as I know, yes.

And they didn't try to stop this practice?
I presume they had more urgent matters at hand, and after all Kristensen's Company already made its name by repulsing a couple of Soviet attacks.
Members of the "Akser Wotan" unit, posing for a photo the day before the Soviet assault

Tell me about the May, 15 attack.
I was grounded at the airport as my chopper was being refueled and repaired. Soviets started the assault before dawn, maybe they thought their night equipment would give them an advantage.
Actually, Kristensen was expecting them; they stored something like 400 smoke grenades on the roof of the check-in area, with a dozen of men ready to throw them inside.

When the assault started, they let the Soviets advance to the check-in, then started filling the whole area with smoke. it was quite a surprise for the Commies, you know, it's usually the attacker who needs a smoke screen. In five minutes, the visibility inside was near to zero. At that point they charged in, wearing protective glasses and gas masks.

They charged in using the axes? 
Yes.

Sounds like a very risky tactics, point-blank combat in a smoke filled area.
They didn't give an ass to risks or losses at that point. They were full of amphetamines and just wanted a "great Ragnarok", to use their words.

Ragnarok?
Yes, I had to ask too......the final battle of the Gods before the end of world, you know.

How did the charge go?
From a military point of view, the Soviets routed after half an hour and the airport remained under Danish control. From another point of view, it was......well, I've been at war for the last 15 days, I've seen what it means......
(he pauses)
The worst came when the smoke dissipated. The whole check-in area looked like the set of one of those horror movies. I threw up almost immediately, and had to get out as fast as I could.
But Kristensen and his men were in an exalted state. They kept acting like ancient Vikings, and I saw several of them getting out holding a couple of heads and yelling their battle cries.

What happened after the battle?
I don't know. I was wounded a few hours later by a mortar shot, and evacuated the day after.
(he pauses again, then lay down on the bed)
Now I'm quite tired, please let me sleep.

We asked SHAEF for more details about May, 15 assault at  Vaerlose Airport. They answered that "there are no reports about any unusual tactics or behavior during the engagement". 

A couple of days after this interview, we tried to recontact Lieutenant Jonas Roggon. 
The military hospital Officers told us he has been transferred and refused to give more details about his whereabouts.

Wednesday, 9 March 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - D+12, WP Land Phase

Despite the all-out NATO air effort, the damage initially inflicted to the WP supply infrastructure by operation "Hand of God"  has been partially repaired. A thin flow of ammunition and fuel reached some of the Warsaw Pact armies, allowing them to resume the offensive in a couple of key sectors.

NORTHAG and Baltic

106th Guards Airborne Division in Sjaelland received airdrop supplies and assaulted Cophenagen airport with the support of four SU-19 squadrons. After 36 hours of battle, described by a Pravda embedded journalist as "ferocious beyond human comprehension", the surviving Danish defenders were able to maintain control over the airfield.

On the Kiel Kanal, two Divisions of 2nd Guards Tank Army encircled and destroyed the last Danish brigade outside Sjaelland, leaving the whole continental Denmark without defense.

Hamburg was finally liberated by the 2nd Guards Tank Army, with the decisive support of artillery of the newly arrived 5th Guards Tank Army.

Hamburg received the status of Independent City, and a provisional Bürgermeister has been elected by the parliament members still available. Thousands of prostrated citizens poured into the streets to celebrate the end of a nightmare; many of them, previously trapped in the areas held by NATO, received assistance in the several food distribution points established by Red Army inside the city .

Hamburg area situation, D+12 22:00 ZT

In Bremen area, combined effort of 3rd Shock and 20th Guards Armies destroyed the remains of WG 5th Armored Division and a German Reserve mechanized regiment.
Moreover, 10th Guards Tank Division cut the supply line used by Oldenburg defenders, leaving them with local reserves of ammunition only.
Bremen area Situation, D+12 22:00 ZT

In Netherlands, 1st Guards Tank Army destroyed Dutch 1st Mech Division with a concentric assault of six divisions. Unfortunately, the intense fighting brought the whole army at critical levels regarding artillery and tank ammunition.
1st Guards Tank Army situation, D+12 22:00 ZT


CENTAG

As usual, CENTAG area had been quiet in the last 48 hours.

SOUTHAG

In Munich area, two Hungarian Army divisions with 6th Army artillery support retook control of the city, forcing the last brigade of French paratroopers to surrender. Once again, NATO showed the world how little it cares about its soldiers' life.

The rest of the Hungarian Army advanced West, freeing Augsburg and destroying several enemy SAM sites along its path.
Hungarian Army situation, D+12 22:00 ZT

1st Czech Army received a good amount of supplies and used them to destroy WG 24/1 Alpine Brigade and to occupy Wurzburg. During D+12 night, the whole army regrouped and reorganized, concentrating six division South of Wurzburg and getting ready for a new push to the West.
1st Czech Army situation, D+12 22:00 ZT

Overview at D+12, 22:00 Zulu Time

Strategic Situation at D+12, 22:00 ZT


Thursday, 25 February 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - D+12, Midday

Merseburg Airfield, East Germany, 10:00 Zulu Time


"Are you JOKING, Comrade? What's that piece of garbage under my wing?"
Air Major Koloda Stroganov was out of his grace; he simply could not believe what he was seeing mounted on the pilons of every MIG-21 of his squadron.

The ground crew technician sprang to attention before answering. 
"It's a K-13 model A air to air missile, Comrade Major! It has been properly and thoroughly tested tonight and I can assure it's working perfectly, Comrade Major!"

Stroganov struggled for a few seconds against the impulse of hitting the soldier with his helmet. Then, he placed himself just a few inches from the technician's face.

"I don't FUCKING CARE if it's been tested! Do you have an idea of the time needed to lock on a target using that piece of shit? TWENTY seconds! Do you think I have TWENTY FUCKING SECONDS up there?"

"I want you to remove NOW that pathetic excuse for a missile and replace it with the usual, reliable, FAST K-13 model R, Object 320. IS THAT CLEAR ENOUGH?"

Stroganov's wingman approached, shaking his head. "Leave the boy alone, Koloda Andreyevich. Do you really think he came up with this idea on his own? Obviously some brass here decided that K-13 A is more than enough to shoot down fat, slow, overloaded NATO bombers. Too bad they sometime have pumped-up, fast, overarmed escort fighters with them."

Seeing a hope, the technician tried to justify himself. "That's how the Lieutenant said, Comrade Major! Yesterday evening we were ordered to spare the K-13 R missiles for MIG-23 wings only and to mount K-13 A on everything else! I'm sorry, Comrade Major!"

Major Stroganov sighed, trying to calm down. "I'm going to talk to the Colonel. Keep the boys in the cockpits, engines off until I come back."

Saturday, 13 February 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - D+12, Hamburg has fallen

A quick preview of the ongoing Warsaw Pact's land move at D+12.....
Here's the first page of May 15, 1980 morning edition of  "The Times", the infamous capitalist newspaper.


Friday, 12 February 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - D+12, Air War


The key to the entire war has become the air war and its effects on Warsaw Pact's supply.
The recent breakthrough in SOUTHAG defenses by 1st Czech Army probably forced a change of strategy at SHAEF, as the majority of the available planes were allocated to Central Sector.


Air Combat Phase

Warsaw Pact focused its Air Superiority aircraft in Central and Baltic sectors, assigning every available bomber to support Operation Boreal Light - Soviet paratroopers attack to Copenhagen.

NATO took a big risk by assigning practically every available airplane to ground support in North and Central sector, including the F-15 wings.

Despite the absence of any escort and the interception by 600+ enemy fighters, NATO fighter-bombers were able to penetrate the battlefield with a total loss of 50 planes (3-4 steps) destroyed and 75 damaged.

NATO Ground Support in North Sector

NATO Ground Support in Central Sector

Operation "Hand of God" Continues

NATO air campaign against Warsaw Pact's supply system and infrastructures continued, using an unprecedented quantity of airplanes. Soviet intelligence estimated 1500+ NATO bombers and fighter-bombers were allocated to the operation.

Despite that, the recent buildup of air defenses and reorganization of supply depots by Warsaw Pact brought some results. Only 4 out of 6 supply lines were interdicted, and only 3 out of 6 main supply depots were forced to redeploy backwards.

Therefore, a small but significant flow of ammunition and fuel will reach Warsaw Pact's front division in the next few hours, at least in Baltic and North air sectors.

NATO air losses during D+12 air strikes were reported as follows:
Airplane
Shot Down
Damaged
dest/damage steps
A-10
15
17
1/1
F-4
3
30
0/2
Jaguar
16
32
1/2
Mirage
4
45
0/3

Operation Hand of God, D+12
Wild Weasel Strike


Ground Strike

Supply Interdiction Strike

Front Supply Head Displacement







Thursday, 14 January 2016

The Next War, Operation Attila - D+11, NATO Land Phase

The big news is NATO is now operating at division level wherever possible.
This change of strategy will make WP attacks very costly, but reduced NATO reserves to an almost absolute zero; should WP be able to achieve a breakthrough somewhere, there will be nothing to stop its ride.


NORTHAG

In the Baltic area, NATO Command issued a suicide order to move South of Hamburg to a WG mech regiment. Resident members of the Rote Armee Fraktion ("Red Army Detachment", Germany's liberation movement) declared that the unit's reserve soldiers were forced to obey under the threat of execution of their families by NATO Military Police.

Baltic / Hamburg Area

The NEDEFOR / NORTHAG sector was reinforced by 3rd British Mobile Force and regrouped most of its brigades into divisions, forming a solid defense on the Ruhr - Arnhem - Apeldorn - North Sea line. Moreover, US III Corps started operating as independent unit and was assigned a part of the front.

German 12th Armored Division conducted the first real NATO counterattack, engaging 20th Guards Tank Division East of Arnhem with the decisive support of 100+ AH-1 Cobra attack helicopters. 
Soviet 20th Guards Tank Division was effectively destroyed by the counterattack; full details of the engagement can be found in the 1GTA report to GSFG.

NEDEFOR  / NORTHAG Area

CENTAG

CENTAG deployment remained more or less unchanged, with US V Corps covering the 225 km front from the Rhur urban area to Darmstadt, south of Frankfurt.

CENTAG Area

SOUTHAG

Facing the breakthrough by Czech 1st Army and the almost complete absence of operational reserves, SOUTHAG was forced to retreat 70 km West, leaving the cities of Wurzburg and Augsburg without military garrison.

Moreover, French II Corps had to stop its transfer to NORTHAG and help stabilizing the SOUTHAG front. 

According to the reconnaissance companies of Czech 15th Motorized Division, the now free citizens of Augsburg have burned down banks and government buildings and formed a local Soviet in order to better communicate with Warsaw Pact officers and authorities.
SOUTHAG Area

Overview at D+11, 22:00 Zulu Time

Here's the strategic situation at D+11, 22:00 ZT.
If someone wants to see the full details using Vassal, the save file is here.





Saturday, 28 November 2015

The Next War 1985 - Operation Hand of God with Command

We're working on a revised The Next War scenario set in 1985, more or less 5 years later than the original ones.

Five years could seem a very short time, but there was a lot of changes during that period. Ronald Reagan became President of the United States, and Margaret Thatcher was Great Britain's Prime Minister.

I'm sure a lot of people have a lot of different ideas about these two political figures, but from a purely military point of view they made the difference. They marked the end of the so-called Detente diplomacy and started (Reagan in particular) a heavy program of rearmament to face USSR "Evil Empire".

In 1985, after four years of Reagan's presidency, US Army forces had upgraded their M-60 and M-113 to M-1A1 Abrams and M-2 Bradley, had a good number of the new Stinger SAM missiles, and had finally recovered from the "Vietnam Syndrome". US Air Force had been modernized, its tactics revised, and was ready to face the final phase of the Cold War. US Navy had acquired new vessels to reinforce AFCENT in case of war, and new POMCUS sites had been established in Netherlands.

Obviously there's a lot of things to change in game terms: order of battles, reinforcements, equipment upgrades and so on.

One of the main points to quantify is the 1985 technology gap between NATO and WP and its effect on the battlefield. To have an idea of this last point, I've used Matrix Games' Command to simulate a typical "The Next War" situations.

I presume at least some of you know "Command": an air / naval warfare simulator taking its roots from "Harpoon", but more advanced. For example, while Harpoon simulates the air launch capacity of a USA CV numerically, Command incorporates all the single elements: internal lifts and their max load, Air Boss skill, number and type of catapults, bridge occupation and so on. The air launch capacity of the CV is simply the result of using all these.

The scenario background is taken from our game's "Operation Hand of God" , an operation launched by NATO at D+9 to interdict / destroy WP supply lines.

I prepared two scenarios: the first set in 1980, the second in 1985. Both scenarios use the same background, same attack plan and more or less the same forces, only updated to their more recent version for 1985.

In both scenarios, WP advanced to the Bremen - Osnabruck - Paderborn line, and is using the Osnabruck - Hanover - Brunswick - Magdeburg autobahns as its main supply line; the NATO raid takes off from Netherlands, with the objective of bombarding the supply installations in Magdeburg area.

NATO raid has the following composition:
  • SEAD3 (6xF-4G Wild Weasel), to attack SAM mobile sites around Padeborn and open up the way for the rest of the strike. 
  • SEAD1 (12xF-4G Wild Weasel), to attack SAM sites around Magdeburg
  • Iron1 (6xF-111D), to attack WP supply facilities around Magdeburg
  • Chief1 (1xEC-130E), supporting the raid with radar coverage and Offensive ECM
  • Chief2 (1xEF-111A, 1985 only), supporting the raid with offensive ECM

    Warsaw Pact forces have the following composition:
    • Several Soviet Divisions, with SA-6, SA-4 and ZSU-57 batteries (equivalent to the Soviet B divisional flak)
    • Several mobile SAM battalions with SA-4 (equivalent to the WP C-3 mobile flak)
    • Several Soviet fixed SAM with SA-3 and SA-5 (equivalent to Soviet B-3 fixed flak)
    NATO plan for the raid












    1980 Scenario AAR

    Since the start, Chief1 radars detects previously unknown SAM mobile sites of the Soviet Army. They will be marked as "hostile" soon.


    At 05:22 ZT, all NATO strikes are en route. SEAD3 begins to target enemy radars with AGM-78D HARM missiles.



    At 05:29 ZT, SEAD3 has destroyed almost every enemy radar in Padeborn area and begins returning to base. SEAD1 and Iron1 missions can fly thru the area without problems.



    At 05:30 ZT, Soviet Army SAMs South of Padeborn acquire NATO planes and launch a missile salvo against them, downing an F-4G.


    At 05:38 ZT, SEAD1 enters its prosecution area and begins targeting enemy radars. WP SAMs answer with another missile salvo, downing a second F-4G and an approaching F-111D


    At 05:41 ZT, air battle over Magdeburg is quite hot.


    At 05:46 ZT, almost every WP radar system in Magdeburg area has been destroyed, at the price of another F-4G downed.


    At 05:52 ZT, NATO planes begin to return to base. WP hits an F-111 maneuvering to get back.


    1980 Losses and Expenditures

    The raid was a success, destroying almost every supply objective in the assigned area, even though the cost for NATO was quite high (5 planes, 20% losses).
    Overall, my feeling is that the results are more or less in line with what happened in "The Next War"

    SIDE: NATO
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    2x F-111D Aardvark
    3x F-4G Phantom II [Wild Weasel V]


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    30x AGM-45B Shrike [ARM]
    34x AGM-78D Standard [ARM]
    81x Generic Chaff Salvo [5x Cartridges]
    84x Mk82 500lb Snakeeye


    SIDE: WP SAM
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    1x SA-10b Grumble [5V55R]
    40x SA-5c Gammon [5V28M5]



    SIDE: Soviet SAM
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    1x Building (Odd Pair HF [PRV-13])
    2x Building (Square Pair [5N62])
    1x Building (Tall King C [P-14])
    3x Vehicle (Flat Face B [P-19])


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    41x SA-3c Goa [5V27D, V-601PD]
    36x SA-5c Gammon [5V28M5]



    SIDE: WP Supply
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    2x Bridge (Two-lane 60 Tons)
    2x Diesel (750k Liter Tank)
    2x Diesel Bunker (750k Liter Tank)


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------



    SIDE: Soviet Army
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    3x 23mm ZU-23-2
    3x Radar (Thin Skin B HF [PRV-16])
    3x SA-4a Ganef [2P24] TEL
    2x SA-4b Ganef [2P24] TEL
    2x SA-6a Gainful [2P25] TEL
    2x SA-7b Grail [SPW-60PB] MANPADS
    9x Vehicle (Pat Hand [1S32])
    2x Vehicle (Straight Flush [1S91])


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    38x 23mm ZU-23-2 Burst [20 rnds]
    61x SA-4a Ganef [3M8M1]
    111x SA-4b Ganef [3M8M2]
    38x SA-6a Gainful [9M336]
    3x SA-6b Gainful [9M336]


    1985 Scenario AAR

    The 1985 scenario unfolded more or less like 1980 one, but the EF-111 Raven supporting SEAD1 and Iron1 mission made a big difference in terms of NATO losses. Only a single F-4G was downed, and most of WP missiles were running blind after launch due to the powerful ECM emissions of Raven1.

    1985 Losses and Expenditures

    SIDE: NATO
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    1x F-4G Phantom II [Wild Weasel V]


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    20x AGM-45B Shrike [ARM]
    36x AGM-78D Standard [ARM]
    4x Generic Chaff Salvo [5x Cartridges]
    96x Mk82 500lb Snakeeye



    SIDE: WP SAM
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    1x SA-10b Grumble [5V55R]
    60x SA-5c Gammon [5V28M5]


    SIDE: Soviet SAM
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    1x Building (Odd Pair HF [PRV-13])
    2x Building (Square Pair [5N62])
    1x Building (Tall King C [P-14])
    1x SA-3c Goa Quad Rail
    2x SA-7a Grail [9K32 Strela-2] MANPADS
    4x Vehicle (Flat Face B [P-19])
    2x Vehicle (Low Blow [SNR-125])


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    19x SA-3c Goa [5V27D, V-601PD]
    27x SA-5c Gammon [5V28M5]



    SIDE: WP Supply
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    2x Bridge (Two-lane 60 Tons)
    1x Diesel (750k Liter Tank)
    2x Diesel Bunker (750k Liter Tank)


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------



    SIDE: Soviet Army
    ===========================================================

    LOSSES:
    -------------------------------
    2x 23mm ZU-23-2
    3x Radar (Thin Skin B HF [PRV-16])
    2x SA-4a Ganef [2P24] TEL
    1x SA-4b Ganef [2P24] TEL
    3x SA-6a Gainful [2P25] TEL
    1x SA-7b Grail [SPW-60PB] MANPADS
    9x Vehicle (Pat Hand [1S32])
    2x Vehicle (Straight Flush [1S91])


    EXPENDITURES:
    ------------------
    57x 23mm ZU-23-2 Burst [20 rnds]
    74x SA-4a Ganef [3M8M1]
    121x SA-4b Ganef [3M8M2]
    7x SA-6a Gainful [9M336]